Rains and frosts concern players

Cepea, July 1st, 2025 – Heavy rainfall was registered in Southern Brazil in late June, especially in Rio Grande do Sul, along with a cold wave, which resulted in frosts in some areas in the Central-South. On one hand, the cold weather favors the development of crops, but heavy rains in RS affected crop activities, causing losses in some areas. Therefore, producers are concerned with this scenario.

According to data from Emater/RS released on June 26, rains have delayed the planting in Rio Grande do Sul, which progressed only 2% in one week, reaching 39% of the total.

In Paraná, data from Seab/Deral released in late June indicate that 91% of the area had been planted and that most crops that are developing may be favored by the cold weather; however, this same climate scenario can affect areas that were planted early and are currently producing flowers and/or are at the grain-filling stage.

As for Brazil, Conab says that 56.6% of the area had been planted up to June 21.

According to data from Cepea, between June 20 and 27, in the wholesale market (deals between processors), values decreased 0.28% in Rio Grande do Sul, 0.43% in Santa Catarina and 1.2% in Paraná. The prices paid to wheat farmers (over-the-counter market) remained stable in Santa Catarina, but dropped 0.75% in Paraná, 2.58% in São Paulo and 1.2% in Rio Grande do Sul. The US dollar moved down 0.67% against Real, at BRL 5.486 on June 27.

In June, the monthly average of wheat prices in Paraná was BRL 1,511.75 per ton, downing 2.4% against May/25 and 5.7% in relation to that in June/24, in real terms (IGP-DI). In Rio Grande do Sul, the average was BRL 1,351.87/ton, -4% in one month and -10.1% in one year. In São Paulo, prices averaged BRL 1.533.10/ton, -4.4% and -10.9% in the same comparisons. As for Santa Catarina, the average was BRL 1,469.94/ton in June, upping 0.5% compared to May, but dropping 6.5% against that in the same month last year.

IMPORTS – Data from Secex indicate that, up to the third week of June (14 producing days), Brazil has imported 330.54 thousand tons of wheat, 45% less than in June last year (603.93 thousand tons).

(Cepea-Brazil)